Hurricane modeling seen as vital for business planning amid rising climate risks

Wednesday, October 22, 2025
Robert Fauber President & CEO at Moody's Analytics | Moody's Analytics
Hurricane modeling seen as vital for business planning amid rising climate risks

As the frequency and intensity of hurricanes increase due to climate change, businesses worldwide are being urged to reassess their approach to risk management. The threat posed by hurricanes, including severe winds, storm surges, and heavy rainfall, now extends beyond traditional coastal regions and affects organizations in North America, Asia-Pacific, and emerging markets.

For executives in banking, insurance, and corporate sectors, understanding hurricane risk is essential for strategic planning and long-term resilience. "Understanding hurricane risk—and acting on those insights—enables organizations to make informed decisions that protect assets, ensure insurability, and sustain growth in an uncertain future," according to a recent statement.

Advanced modeling is becoming a key tool for adapting to this new risk landscape. By quantifying hurricane risk with sophisticated models that integrate science, engineering, and financial analytics, organizations can better anticipate losses and guide adaptation strategies. These models assess projected hurricane intensities under various scenarios, evaluate the exposure of assets based on location and value, measure vulnerability related to design and regional factors, and estimate potential financial impacts.

The benefits of adopting advanced risk modeling include real asset protection through loss mitigation actions; sustaining market viability by helping maintain insurance coverage in high-risk areas; guiding capital allocation for targeted adaptation investments; supporting regulatory compliance for physical risk disclosure; and preserving business continuity amid increasing physical threats.

"With sophisticated risk models, decision-makers gain the clarity needed to evaluate a full spectrum of resilience strategies," the release notes. This could involve investing in physical defenses such as seawalls or resilient building materials or making supply chains more robust against extreme weather events. Financial institutions may also adjust lending criteria to reflect evolving risks.

Although these measures require upfront investment, the long-term economic benefits—such as reduced property damage and lower insurance claims—can outweigh initial costs. Models help demonstrate how enhanced adaptation efforts can lead to measurable reductions in anticipated damages.

Insurance markets are also affected by escalating risks. If adaptive measures are not taken or exposures are poorly managed, insurers may withdraw products or raise premiums sharply. However, credible modeling allows for better-informed underwriting decisions and can help stabilize markets by encouraging resilience features like impact-resistant windows or elevated construction.

Banks and corporate clients see insurability as closely tied to asset values and financing opportunities. Investments in resilience help protect both physical assets and the continuity of lending or development activities in vulnerable regions.

"Investing in the science, data, and analytics that underpin sound physical risk management will set tomorrow’s leaders apart in banking, insurance, corporates, and beyond," the statement concludes.

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