As Europe experiences record-breaking heat waves, the financial impacts of rising temperatures are becoming increasingly evident. With temperatures surpassing 40 degrees Celsius in several parts of the continent, health concerns have led to the closure of landmarks like the Eiffel Tower. Cities such as Barcelona and Paris have reported unprecedented high temperatures, while London's Wimbledon tennis tournament faced its hottest opening day on record.
Moody's Analytics has developed a heat stress model that evaluates how heat waves affect regions worldwide. The model assesses factors like temperature, humidity, urban heat-island effects, and air conditioning prevalence to determine financial impacts on labor productivity and energy costs. It also considers future temperature projections and economic development statuses across different countries.
According to Moody's models, European countries will face increased financial impacts from heat stress between 2020 and 2050 under the worst-case warming scenario outlined by the IPCC. Southern European nations like Greece and Spain are expected to experience significant impacts alongside Central European countries such as Germany and Scandinavian nations like Finland.
The models indicate that heat stress will become a major driver of financial impact in Europe, with its burden growing significantly over time. By 2050, countries like Spain, Germany, and Italy are projected to endure substantial economic consequences due to increased heat stress under RCP 8.5 conditions.
These findings highlight the urgent need for proactive measures to mitigate these impacts. Moody's physical risk models offer valuable insights for banks, policymakers, investors, and businesses aiming to build resilience against future challenges posed by climate change.
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